Home affordability best in seven years

Home loan affordability improved in February and early March to its best levels in seven years as flat to falling house prices in many areas and a large reduction in floating mortgage rates after the February 22 earthquake boosted home buyers' purchasing power. The ongoing benefits of last year's income tax cuts for those on higher incomes boosted affordability to its best levels since March 2004, which was just before house prices surged, the Roost Home Loan Affordability report shows.

The Reserve Bank's 0.5 per cent cut in the Official Cash Rate has been passed on quickly to new floating mortgage borrowers.

However, there are renewed signs of a two-speed housing market where prices of more expensive homes in Auckland are firmer than entry level and investment properties in the outer suburbs and in provincial cities, where prices are weaker and buyers are in a stronger position.

"The interest rate cuts this month have significantly improved the outlook for home buyers," said Rhonda Maxwell, spokeswoman for mortgage broking group Roost Home Loans.

"Affordability for young couples is now at levels not seen since the middle of last decade, which is encouraging many to look at buying their first homes," Maxwell said.

A young couple earning the median wage can afford to buy a first quartile priced house with 21.6 per cent of their disposable income required to service an 80 per cent mortgage.

This is down from 21.9 per cent in December and down from a June 2007 high of 35.1 per cent.

The national median house price rose to $350,000 in February from $340,000 in January, but the first quartile house price was flat at $245,000.

Prices outside of central Auckland and Wellington are flat to falling.

The Roost Home Loan Affordability report measures affordability nationally and regionally for individual income earners and households, taking into account median house prices, interest rates and incomes.

The Roost Home Loan Affordability measure for all of New Zealand showed the proportion of a single median after tax income needed to service an 80 per cent mortgage on a median house to 51.7 per cent in early March after the Reserve Bank rate cut, improving from 54 per cent at the end of February and 52.7 per cent at the end of January.

Affordability improved in central Auckland, Hamilton, Rotorua and Kapiti Coast because of lower house prices, but worsened somewhat in West Auckland and South Auckland due to higher prices.

Queenstown reclaimed the mantle as the most expensive city in the country after a rise in its median house price.

Wanganui took the top spot as the most affordable city from Invercargill.

Affordability has been improving since December 2009 as house prices have flattened out and interest rates have fallen, the monthly measure calculated by interest.co.nz in association with Roost found.

Most home owners are still on fixed mortgages, but more new borrowers are choosing to float, given floating rates at around 5.75 per cent are cheaper than average longer term fixed rates at around 6.2 per cent.

The Home Loan Affordability reports are now using the floating rate as most new mortgages are now floating rather than fixed.

Home loan affordability hit its worst level of 83.4 per cent in March 2008 just after house prices peaked and 2 year mortgage rates were close to 10 per cent.

Affordability is difficult in Auckland, Wellington, Hamilton and Tauranga for those on a single median income, but homebuyers in smaller provincial cities will find home ownership much more affordable.

Households with two incomes are also in a stronger position, particularly those bidding for homes priced in the lower quartile.

Affordability for households with more than one income improved in January because of the fall in the median house price.

This measure of a 'standard typical household' found the proportion of after tax income needed to service the mortgage on a median house was to 35.4 per cent at the end of February from 35.7 per cent in December.

This measure assumes one median male income, half a median female income aged 30-35 and a 5 year old child that receives Working-for-Families benefits.

Any level over 40 per cent is considered unaffordable for a household, whereas any level closer to 30 per cent has coincided with increased buyer demand in the past.

The survey's measure of a 'standard first-home-buyer household' found the proportion of after tax income needed to service the mortgage on a first quartile home fell to 21.6 per cent in February from 21.9 per cent in December.

This measure assumes a first home buyer household includes a median male income and a median female income aged 25-29 with no children. Any level over 30 per cent is considered unaffordable in the longer term for such a household, while any level closer to 20 per cent is seen as attractive and coinciding with strong demand.

This article is published courtesy of Interest.co.nz

Posted: 20 Apr 2011